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Hot Tips for Surviving a Cold Winter

By Brenda Brown-Grooms

Natural gas, heating oil, propane, electricity, coal, and wood and pellet stoves are all means by which people will keep warm this winter. Each method will cost more than it did last year, substantially contributing to a cost of living that is problematic in this economic downturn.

The U.S. Energy Information Administration estimates that the average household expenditures for all space-heating fuels are projected to be $1,137 this winter (October 1st to March 31st), a 15 percent increase over the estimated $956 spent last winter. The largest increases will be in households using heating oil and natural gas. The projected increases primarily reflect higher prices, although colder weather than last winter will also contribute to higher fuel use in many areas.

Hurricanes Gustav and Ike caused 32 million barrels of crude oil and 165 billion cubic feet of natural gas production to be shut down in the Gulf of Mexico. Recovery is still ongoing.

According to the most recent projections of heating degree-days by the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration (NOAA), the lower 48 states are forecast to be 2.4 percent colder this winter compared with last winter, but 1.7 percent warmer than the 30-year average (1971-2000). Regional heating degreeday projections vary widely, however; for example, the west-north-central region is projected to be almost 5 percent warmer than last winter.

Those who heat their homes with natural gas will spend, on average, about 18% more ($155) than last winter. About 52% of all households across the nation use natural gas as their heating fuel. The increase in this winter’s prices is based on a projected 17% increase in price and a 1% increase in consumption. In the Midwest, where 72% of households use natural gas to heat their homes, the projected increase in prices is 17%, based on a 19% increase in prices and a 2% decline in consumption.

About 7% of households use heating oil in this country. They can expect to pay 23% more ($449) this winter. Most are in the Northeast (where 31% of households use heating oil as the primary space-heating fuel). An 18% increase in prices and a 5% increase in consumption are expected to cause a 23% increase in cost from last year.

About 7% of households use heating oil in this country. They can expect to pay 23% more ($449) this winter. Most are in the Northeast (where 31% of households use heating oil as the primary space-heating fuel). An 18% increase in prices and a 5% increase in consumption are expected to cause a 23% increase in cost from last year.

Households heating with electricity are projected to pay 10% ($89) more this winter. Ranging from 12% in the Northeast to 59% in the South, 35% of all U.S. households use electricity as their primary heating fuel. The 10% increase in electricity prices is based on that amount of increase in consumption and prices.

Electric-power-sector coal consumption is projected to grow by about 1.2 percent in 2008. Slow growth in electricity consumption, combined with projected increases in electricity generation from other sources (nuclear, natural gas, and wind), will lead to a slight decline (0.9 percent) in electric-powersector coal consumption in 2009.

Pellet and wood-burning stoves are efficient alternatives to natural gas, oil and coal. Wood pellets are generally made from sawdust and wood shavings. Of 107 million households in the U.S., about 800,000 homeowners currently use pellet stoves. Although they can be used to run a whole-house heating system, pellets are more commonly used in fireplace inserts and freestanding stoves that serve as supplemental heating appliances.

Because most homes do not have thermostats in each room, users may be tempted to turn up the primary thermostat when rooms adjacent to the heated space are cool, thus defeating the purpose of a pellet stove. Pellet stoves, however, require loading, lighting, tending and cleaning, as opposed to simply flipping a switch.

If you already have a fireplace, you can increase heating efficiency and circulate the heat with a fireplace insert. Essentially a self-contained firebox, the insert fits into the existing box and allows the air to circulate around it, thus heating it. The insert is connected to the chimney to vent the smoke and combustion byproducts. If you don’t have a working fireplace, choose a freestanding stove, which you can place nearly anywhere in your home. (Venting a freestanding stove requires punching through the building envelope and installing a chimney of appropriate design for wood-burning appliances.) Whichever type of appliance you choose, expect to pay at least $750 plus installation fees of $250 and up. A National Fireplace Institutecertified installer should install the appliance.

Heat load is measured in British thermal units per hour, or Btu/h. You need 25 to 30 Btu/h per square foot, or at least 5,000 Btu/h for a 200-square-foot space. The actual heat loss (and conversely the amount of heat needed) is based on where you live (outdoor air temperature), the amount of insulation in the ceiling and exterior walls of the space, the number and size of the space’s windows, and whether there is heated space above and below the room. Calculate how many Btu/h you need to heat your space and select an appropriate-sized insert or stove.

The average cost of a cord of firewood or a ton of wood pellets is $190. A true comparison of costs involves looking at the price of the fuel, the “heating value of the fuel,” and the efficiency of the heating appliance. You then use the averages of all three to determine cost. The Energy Information Administration’s Heating Fuel Comparison Calculator estimates that it costs $14.39 to produce 1 million Btu using pellets and $15.83 using solid wood. Compare those figures with coal ($5.35), natural gas ($19.62), oil ($22.59), propane ($27.77), and electric furnaces, baseboards and space heaters ($30.82).

Federally funded programs administered by states (usually through social services departments) will have their work cut out for them this winter. While there is never a lot of money available to help poor and disabled populations, what dollars there are will be stretched to cover as many people as possible -- with many literally “left out in the cold” by guidelines changed to make it harder to qualify for heating assistance, in anticipation of more applications.

There is still time to apply for fuel assistance for the winter season. If you think you will need help paying to stay warm this winter, apply now. The federal Home Energy Assistance Program (HEAP) is designed to help households that: spend a large portion of their income on energy bills; have a child or children under age 8, adults over 60, or disabled individuals living in the home; have an income at or below certain established guidelines; and have run out or are in danger of running out of heating fuel.

Those eligible must meet income guidelines (generally 60% of a state’s median Income or below), either pay directly for heating costs or pay rent that includes heating costs, and be a U.S. citizen or a qualified alien.

Those with access to a computer can visit their state’s Home Energy Assistance Program Web site. Others should call their local social services office.

******************************* Brenda Brown-Grooms is an independent living coordinator with the Blue Ridge Independent Living


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